Munich Security Report 2017
THIS REPORT DRAWS ON THE RESEARCH AND INPUT BY MANY GENEROUS INSTITUTIONS AND THEIR STAFF. THE MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE WOULD LIKE TO THANK:
American Enterprise Institute, Arab Center Washington DC, Bertelsmann Stiftung, Buzzfeed News, Chatham House, Chicago Council, CISSM at the School of Public Policy at the University of Maryland, Center for Strategic and International Studies, CNA Corporation, Center for Security Studies (ETH Zurich), Eurasia Group, European Political Strategy Centre, European and World Values Survey, European Leadership Network, Freedom House, German Federal Foreign Office, German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA), Hertie School of Governance, Institute for Economics and Peace, IHS Markit, International Institute for Strategic Studies, International Crisis Group, International Organization for Migration, Ipsos MORI, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Levada Center, McKinsey & Company, McKinsey Global Institute, Metropoll, Nuclear Threat Initiative, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, Oxford University, Pew Research Center, CBOS Public Opinion Research Center, Ukraine-Analysen, United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, Durham University, World Health Organization, YouGov.
We show our special thanks to those partners who collected data specifically for the MSR or who allowed us to use previously unpublished material by displaying their logo along with their respective charts, maps, or tables.
THE MUNICH SECURITY CONFERENCE WOULD ALSO LIKE TO ACKNOWLEDGE THE FOLLOWING INDIVIDUALS FOR THEIR SIGNIFICANT SUPPORT:
Christoph Abels (Hertie School of Governance), Helmut Anheier (Hertie School of Governance), David Bachmann (McKinsey & Company), Céline Barmet (CSS Zurich), Guillaume de la Brosse (European Political Strategy Centre), Nick de Larrinaga (IHS Jane’s Defence Weekly), İhsan Dağı (Middle East Technical University), Miriam Dahinden (CSS Zurich), Bobby Duffy (Ipsos MORI), Thomas Frear (European Leadership Network), Nancy W. Gallagher (Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland), Renata Gierbisz (CBOS), Nigar Goksel (International Crisis Group), Dimitry Gorenburg (CNA Corporation), Alexei Grazhdankin (Levada Center), Daniel Grütjen (Stiftung Mercator), Iryna Gudyma (OSCE), Matthias Haber (Hertie School of Governance), James Hackett (International Institute for Strategic Studies), Matthew Henman (IHS Markit), Isabell Hoffmann (Bertelsmann Stiftung), Daniel Keohane (CSS Zurich), Louis Lillywhite (Chatham House), Berkay Mandıracı (Inter-national Crisis Group), Andrew Metrick (CSIS), Jörg-Dietrich Nackmayr (Centre of Excellence for Operations in Confined and Shallow Waters), Tobias Otto (McKinsey & Company), Tabea Pottiez, Camilla Schippa (Institute for Economics and Peace), Nabil Sharaf (Arab Center Washington), Craig Silverman (BuzzFeed News), Rachel Staley Grant (Nuclear Threat Initiative), Philip Steinberg (IBRU, Durham University), Columb Strack (IHS Markit), Jessica C. Varnum (James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies), Michael Werz (Center for American Progress), Siemon Wezeman (SIPRI), Chris Woods (Airwars), Martin Zapfe (CSS Zurich), Katherine Zimmerman (American Enterprise Institute), James Zogby (Zogby Research Services).
Tobias Bunde, Benedikt Franke, Quirin Maderspacher, Adrian Oroz, Lukas Schwemer, Lisa Marie Ullrich, Lukas Werner, Kai Wittek
The information and data in the Munich Security Report (MSR), or on which this report is based, has been obtained from sources that the authors believe to be reliable, accurate, and trustworthy, but we cannot guarantee their accuracy or completeness. The Munich Security Conference (MSC) has secured the rights to publish all the information and data included in this report.
The MSR presents research and input on a variety of security policy topics prepared by staff, partners of the MSC, as well as other institutions. The first goal of the report is to present this thought-provoking material to a broad audience. We consequently do not endorse every quote or every line of analysis in this report.
The Munich Security Report 2017 is published by the Munich Security Conference Foundation gGmbH (Prinzregentenstr. 7, 80538 Munich, Germany), on the occasion of the 53rd edition of the Munich Security Conference. The Munich Security Conference is the world’s leading platform for the discussion of security policy. In addition to its annual flagship conference, the MSC regularly convenes high-profile events around the world. More information on the MSC, its structure, goals, and activities can be found at www.securityconference.de.
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MORE ABOUT THIS SERIES
The Munich Security Report is published on the occasion of the annual Munich Security Conference. Since its first edition in 2015, it has compiled data, analyses, and maps which illuminate major developments and critical challenges to international security. The MSR serves as a conversation starter for the Munich Security Conference and as a background reading for MSC participants, but is also made available to security professionals and the interested public.
“Just like the MSC, which has successfully grown out of its original focus on defense, the report takes a broad approach to security. In addition to what you might expect to find in such a report, like analyses of Russian or Chinese foreign policy or the Syrian war, I was pleased to see that the report also looks at issues like refugee flows, health, climate change and cyber warfare.”1
KOFI ANNAN, FORMER UN SECRETARY GENERAL
ON THE 2016 EDITION
- Kofi Annan, Speech on the occasion of the MSC Kick-off Berlin 2016, https://www.securityconference. de/mediathek/kick-off-berlin-2016/video/the-msc-berlin-kick-off-2016/filter/video/.